Sports betting can be extremely profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make dollars. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a great case in point. I actually analyzed typically the Western side Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Florida had this edge in the activity. Nonetheless We also realized that there were a great deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not bet on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This activity has all the symptoms of being one associated with the greatest games regarding the year, using the two teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, along with Western world Virginia coming again from appearing down large in the independence day one fourth to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s betway look like this year?
In case this sport were as played in a simple field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. These people haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 ROAD games.
These kinds of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s game. Plus, the particular additional added bonus is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This can not appear like substantially, but in a shut match-up this way, that extra point will certainly make the change between a push in addition to a loss.
But what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home games.
And even if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at home since January 18, the year 2003! During this recent run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points per game at your home, while hitting only giving up 15. seven points each game at home. In case a person failed to do the mathmatical, that means since their particular last home reduction they already have averaged beating their opponents simply by about thirty four points per game.
Even greater extraordinary, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, simply by 13 items per online game at home given that the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Nearly all of those stats have been built up during the june 2006 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They’ve got recent games through which they also have only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. These types of video games weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.
Basically the fact that this is still a close activity to get in touch with. Nevertheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off this specific game and certainly not guarantee at all. There usually are better games this weekend with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score of this game was Louisville 44, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was that West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big which they could still win soon after making so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this specific game, people really serious concerning gambling saved money they can offer better make use of on upcoming games.